Get Today’s Boston Red Sox MLB Baseball Game Information—Lineup and Stats
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: Starting Pitchers and Quick Preview for September 29th, 2023
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Todays Lineup
Boston Red Sox
- Ceddanne Rafaela (R) CF
- Rafael Devers (L) 3B
- Justin Turner (R) DH
- Adam Duvall (R) RF
- Rob Refsnyder (R) LF
- Trevor Story (R) SS
- Pablo Reyes (R) 2B
- Bobby Dalbec (R) 1B
- Connor Wong (R) C
Baltimore Orioles
- Cedric Mullins (L) CF
- Adley Rutschman (S) C
- Ryan O’Hearn (L) DH
- Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B
- Heston Kjerstad (L) RF
- Austin Hays (R) LF
- Adam Frazier (L) 2B
- Ramon Urias (R) 3B
- Jorge Mateo (R) SS
MLB Matchup Analysis: Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles
The Boston Red Sox and the Baltimore Orioles are set to face off in an upcoming MLB game. Here is a detailed analysis of the matchup:
| Statistic | John Means | Nick Pivetta |
| WAR | 0.5 | 1.9 |
| W | 1 | 9 |
| L | 1 | 9 |
| ERA | 2.6 | 4.25 |
| IP | 17.1 | 135.2 |
| SO | 6 | 173 |
| WHIP | 0.808 | 1.157 |
Based on the above statistics, Nick Pivetta has the better chance of winning this matchup. He has a higher WAR, more wins, more strikeouts, and a lower WHIP than John Means. Additionally, Pivetta has pitched more innings this season, which gives him more experience.
However, it is important to note that Means is also a very good pitcher. He has a low ERA and a good WHIP. Additionally, he is left-handed, which can give him an advantage against right-handed hitters.
Overall, Pivetta is the favorite to win this matchup, but Means is a capable pitcher who should not be underestimated.
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Red Sox Lineup – 9-29-2023
Friday night in Baltimore. pic.twitter.com/d1nfgrbdfw
— Red Sox (@RedSox) September 29, 2023
Back on the road. pic.twitter.com/r4e7XFGWz3
— Red Sox (@RedSox) September 28, 2023
Wednesday at Fenway! pic.twitter.com/cmskJdTglx
— Red Sox (@RedSox) September 27, 2023
Brayan Bello was meant to pitch in Boston. #HispanicHeritageMonth pic.twitter.com/lIqru75sh5
— Red Sox (@RedSox) September 20, 2023
Recent Form and Updated Stats
The updated stats show that the Orioles have a slight edge in pitching ERA, while the Red Sox have a slight edge in batting average. However, the Orioles have the better starting pitcher in John Means, who has a 2.60 ERA compared to Nick Pivetta’s 4.25 ERA. The Orioles also have a better record in recent games, winning 6 of their last 10 games compared to the Red Sox’s 3 wins in their last 10 games.
Prediction on Over/Under 9 Runs and Score
Based on the updated stats and recent form, I predict that the Orioles will win the match by a score of 4-2. I also predict that the total number of runs scored in the match will be under 9 runs.Here is a more detailed explanation of my prediction:
- I believe that the Orioles’ pitching will be too much for the Red Sox’s offense to handle.
- I also believe that the Orioles will be able to score a few runs off of Pivetta.
- A final score of 4-2 is a realistic outcome, as it is a low-scoring game that is still exciting to watch.
Overall Analysis
John Means has the edge in this matchup, with a lower ERA, WHIP, and home run rate than Nick Pivetta. However, Pivetta has a significant advantage in strikeouts. Means has been dominant since returning from the injured list in September, posting a 2.60 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in three starts.. He has also been stingy with the home run, allowing just one in 11 innings pitched. Pivetta has been up and down this season, but he has been better in recent weeks. He has allowed just two runs in his last two starts, and he has struck out 16 batters in that span.
Comparison of Team Stats
Here is a comparison of the team stats for the Boston Red Sox and the Baltimore Orioles:
Probability of Winning
Based on the analysis above, the probability of winning for each team is:
- Red Sox: 40%
- Orioles: 60%
In conclusion, the Baltimore Orioles have the edge in this matchup, with better pitching and recent form. However, the Red Sox have a top-five offense in the MLB, led by Xander Bogaerts and Rafael Devers. It should be an exciting game to watch!
Team Ranks
| Stat | Red Sox | Tampa Bay Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Batting Average | 6th (.258) | 3rd (.261) |
| Runs | 4th (832) | 9th (761) |
| Home Runs | 6th (223) | 16th (181) |
| On-Base Percentage | 6th (.330) | 10th (.327) |
| Slugging Percentage | 4th (.443) | 7th (.430) |
| ERA | 5th (3.85) | 21st (4.59) |
| Home Runs Allowed | 5th (172) | 25th (205) |
| WHIP | 1st (1.17) | 20th (1.35) |
| Batting Average Against | 2nd (.230) | 6th (.258) |
Comparison Analysis of Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays
The Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays are two of the best teams in the American League. Both teams have strong offenses and defenses, but the Red Sox have a slight edge in most statistical categories.
Batting
The Red Sox rank 6th in batting average, 4th in runs, 6th in home runs, and 6th in on-base percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays rank 3rd in batting average, 9th in runs, 16th in home runs, and 10th in on-base percentage.
Pitching
The Red Sox rank 5th in ERA, 5th in home runs allowed, and 1st in WHIP. The Tampa Bay Rays rank 21st in ERA, 25th in home runs allowed, and 20th in WHIP.
Defense
The Red Sox rank 2nd in batting average against, while the Tampa Bay Rays rank 6th in batting average against.
Advantage
The Red Sox have a slight advantage over the Tampa Bay Rays in most statistical categories. They have a better offense, defense, and pitching staff.
Conclusion
The Red Sox are the better team on paper, but the Tampa Bay Rays are a good team and should be able to compete with the Red Sox in any given game.
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Today September 29th, 2023
