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Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: Starting Pitchers and Quick Preview for September 29th, 2023
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Todays Lineup
Boston Red Sox
- Ceddanne Rafaela (R) CF
- Rafael Devers (L) 3B
- Justin Turner (R) DH
- Adam Duvall (R) RF
- Rob Refsnyder (R) LF
- Trevor Story (R) SS
- Pablo Reyes (R) 2B
- Bobby Dalbec (R) 1B
- Connor Wong (R) C
Baltimore Orioles
- Cedric Mullins (L) CF
- Adley Rutschman (S) C
- Ryan O’Hearn (L) DH
- Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B
- Heston Kjerstad (L) RF
- Austin Hays (R) LF
- Adam Frazier (L) 2B
- Ramon Urias (R) 3B
- Jorge Mateo (R) SS
MLB Matchup Analysis: Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles
The Boston Red Sox and the Baltimore Orioles are set to face off in an upcoming MLB game. Here is a detailed analysis of the matchup:
| Statistic | John Means | Nick Pivetta |
| WAR | 0.5 | 1.9 |
| W | 1 | 9 |
| L | 1 | 9 |
| ERA | 2.6 | 4.25 |
| IP | 17.1 | 135.2 |
| SO | 6 | 173 |
| WHIP | 0.808 | 1.157 |
Based on the above statistics, Nick Pivetta has the better chance of winning this matchup. He has a higher WAR, more wins, more strikeouts, and a lower WHIP than John Means. Additionally, Pivetta has pitched more innings this season, which gives him more experience.
However, it is important to note that Means is also a very good pitcher. He has a low ERA and a good WHIP. Additionally, he is left-handed, which can give him an advantage against right-handed hitters.
Overall, Pivetta is the favorite to win this matchup, but Means is a capable pitcher who should not be underestimated.
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Baseball Game Recap
Red Sox Lineup – 9-29-2023
Friday night in Baltimore. pic.twitter.com/d1nfgrbdfw
— Red Sox (@RedSox) September 29, 2023
Back on the road. pic.twitter.com/r4e7XFGWz3
— Red Sox (@RedSox) September 28, 2023
Wednesday at Fenway! pic.twitter.com/cmskJdTglx
— Red Sox (@RedSox) September 27, 2023
Brayan Bello was meant to pitch in Boston. #HispanicHeritageMonth pic.twitter.com/lIqru75sh5
— Red Sox (@RedSox) September 20, 2023
Recent Form and Updated Stats
The updated stats show that the Orioles have a slight edge in pitching ERA, while the Red Sox have a slight edge in batting average. However, the Orioles have the better starting pitcher in John Means, who has a 2.60 ERA compared to Nick Pivetta’s 4.25 ERA. The Orioles also have a better record in recent games, winning 6 of their last 10 games compared to the Red Sox’s 3 wins in their last 10 games.
Prediction on Over/Under 9 Runs and Score
Based on the updated stats and recent form, I predict that the Orioles will win the match by a score of 4-2. I also predict that the total number of runs scored in the match will be under 9 runs.Here is a more detailed explanation of my prediction:
- I believe that the Orioles’ pitching will be too much for the Red Sox’s offense to handle.
- I also believe that the Orioles will be able to score a few runs off of Pivetta.
- A final score of 4-2 is a realistic outcome, as it is a low-scoring game that is still exciting to watch.
Overall Analysis
John Means has the edge in this matchup, with a lower ERA, WHIP, and home run rate than Nick Pivetta. However, Pivetta has a significant advantage in strikeouts. Means has been dominant since returning from the injured list in September, posting a 2.60 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in three starts.. He has also been stingy with the home run, allowing just one in 11 innings pitched. Pivetta has been up and down this season, but he has been better in recent weeks. He has allowed just two runs in his last two starts, and he has struck out 16 batters in that span.
Comparison of Team Stats
Here is a comparison of the team stats for the Boston Red Sox and the Baltimore Orioles:
| Comparison | TEAM | STATS |
|---|---|---|
| Category | Boston Red Sox | Baltimore Orioles |
| Batting Avg | .259 (3rd) | .257 (8th) |
| Runs | 761 (9th) | 801 (7th) |
| Home Runs | 181 (18th) | 183 (16th) |
| On Base % | .325 (11th) | .323 (14th) |
| Slugging % | .427 (7th) | .425 (9th) |
| ERA | 4.58 (21st) | 3.93 (7th) |
| Home Runs Allowed | 208 (25th) | 176 (6th) |
| WHIP | 1.35 (20th) | 1.24 (7th) |
| Batting Average Against | .258 (25th) | .242 (11th) |
Probability of Winning
Based on the analysis above, the probability of winning for each team is:
- Red Sox: 40%
- Orioles: 60%
In conclusion, the Baltimore Orioles have the edge in this matchup, with better pitching and recent form. However, the Red Sox have a top-five offense in the MLB, led by Xander Bogaerts and Rafael Devers. It should be an exciting game to watch!
Team Ranks
| Stat | Red Sox | Tampa Bay Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Batting Average | 6th (.258) | 3rd (.261) |
| Runs | 4th (832) | 9th (761) |
| Home Runs | 6th (223) | 16th (181) |
| On-Base Percentage | 6th (.330) | 10th (.327) |
| Slugging Percentage | 4th (.443) | 7th (.430) |
| ERA | 5th (3.85) | 21st (4.59) |
| Home Runs Allowed | 5th (172) | 25th (205) |
| WHIP | 1st (1.17) | 20th (1.35) |
| Batting Average Against | 2nd (.230) | 6th (.258) |
Comparison Analysis of Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays
The Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays are two of the best teams in the American League. Both teams have strong offenses and defenses, but the Red Sox have a slight edge in most statistical categories.
Batting
The Red Sox rank 6th in batting average, 4th in runs, 6th in home runs, and 6th in on-base percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays rank 3rd in batting average, 9th in runs, 16th in home runs, and 10th in on-base percentage.
Pitching
The Red Sox rank 5th in ERA, 5th in home runs allowed, and 1st in WHIP. The Tampa Bay Rays rank 21st in ERA, 25th in home runs allowed, and 20th in WHIP.
Defense
The Red Sox rank 2nd in batting average against, while the Tampa Bay Rays rank 6th in batting average against.
Advantage
The Red Sox have a slight advantage over the Tampa Bay Rays in most statistical categories. They have a better offense, defense, and pitching staff.
Conclusion
The Red Sox are the better team on paper, but the Tampa Bay Rays are a good team and should be able to compete with the Red Sox in any given game.
MLB Final Scores
| | September 28, 2023: | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Away | Current Standings | Score | Winner |
| Oakland Athletics | Minnesota Twins | A's 89-71, Twins 73-87 | 2-1 | Athletics |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | Chicago White Sox | White Sox 80-79, D-backs 71-89 | 1-3 | White Sox |
| Kansas City Royals | Detroit Tigers | Tigers 77-83, Royals 63-97 | 3-7 | Tigers |
| St. Louis Cardinals | Milwaukee Brewers | Brewers 92-68, Cardinals 78-82 | 0-3 | Brewers |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | Philadelphia Phillies | Phillies 85-75, Pirates 69-91 | 3-2 | Pirates |
| Boston Red Sox | Baltimore Orioles | Orioles 82-78, Red Sox 79-81 | 0-2 | Orioles |
| New York Yankees | Toronto Blue Jays | Blue Jays 98-62, Yankees 94-66 | 0-6 | Blue Jays |
| Chicago Cubs | Atlanta Braves | Braves 102-56, Cubs 82-76 | 3-5 | Braves |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | Colorado Rockies | Dodgers 99-61, Rockies 65-95 | 5-14 | Rockies |
| Texas Rangers | Seattle Mariners | Mariners 82-78, Rangers 77-83 | 2-3 | Mariners |
| Kansas City Royals | Detroit Tigers | Tigers 77-83, Royals 63-97 | 0-8 | Tigers |
| MLB Finals Scores - | 27-Sep-23 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Team | Score |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 3 | Chicago White Sox | 0 |
| Miami Marlins | 2 | New York Mets | 11 |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 5 | Boston Red Sox | 0 |
| Cincinnati Reds | 3 | Cleveland Guardians | 4 |
| Washington Nationals | 1 | Baltimore Orioles | 5 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 6 | Philadelphia Phillies | 7 |
| New York Yankees | 6 | Toronto Blue Jays | 0 |
| Chicago Cubs | 5 | Atlanta Braves | 6 |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 2 | Milwaukee Brewers | 3 |
| Oakland Athletics | 4 | Minnesota Twins | 6 |
| Miami Marlins | 4 | New York Mets | 2 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 8 | Colorado Rockies | 2 |
| Texas Rangers | 5 | Los Angeles Angels | 0 |
| Houston Astros | 8 | Seattle Mariners | 3 |
| San Diego Padres | 5 | San Francisco Giants | 2 |
| MLB | Final Scores | 9/26/2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Away Team | Home Team | Current Standings | Final Score |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | Colorado Rockies | LAD: 97-60, COL: 57-100 | LAD 1 - COL 4 |
| Cincinnati Reds | Cleveland Guardians | CIN: 81-77, CLE: 74-84 | CIN 11 - CLE 7 |
| Washington Nationals | Baltimore Orioles | WAS: 69-89, BAL: 98-59 | WAS 0 - BAL 1 |
| Kansas City Royals | Detroit Tigers | KC: 54-103, DET: 74-83 | KC 3 - DET 6 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | Philadelphia Phillies | PIT: 74-83, PHI: 88-69 | PIT 2 - PHI 3 |
| New York Yankees | Toronto Blue Jays | NYY: 80-77, TOR: 87-70 | NYY 2 - TOR 0 |
| Tampa Bay Rays | Boston Red Sox | TB: 96-62, BOS: 76-81 | TB 9 - BOS 7 |
| Chicago Cubs | Atlanta Braves | CHC: 82-75, ATL: 101-56 | CHC 6 - ATL 7 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | Chicago White Sox | ARI: 83-74, CWS: 60-97 | ARI 15 - CWS 4 |
| St. Louis Cardinals | Milwaukee Brewers | STL: 69-88, MIL: 88-69 | STL 4 - MIL 1 |
| Oakland Athletics | Minnesota Twins | OAK: 48-109, MIN: 84-73 | OAK 3 - MIN 11 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | Colorado Rockies | LAD: 97-60, COL: 57-100 | LAD 11 - COL 2 |
| Texas Rangers | Los Angeles Angels | TEX: 88-69, LAA: 71-87 | TEX 3 - LAA 9 |
| San Diego Padres | San Francisco Giants | SD: 78-80, SF: 78-80 | SD 4 - SF 0 |
| Houston Astros | Seattle Mariners | HOU: 86-72, SEA: 85-72 | HOU 2 - SEA 6 |
| Miami Marlins | New York Mets | MIA: 81-75, NYM: 71-85 | Ppd |
MLB Upcoming Games
Today September 29th, 2023
| Home | Away | Current Standings | Line Odds | TV | Game Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins | Pittsburgh Pirates | 82-76 / 75-84 | MIA -130 | S NPT | 3:15 PM |
| Cleveland Guardians | Detroit Tigers | 75-84 / 76-83 | CLE -110 | BSDET | 3:40 PM |
| Boston Red Sox | Baltimore Orioles | 76-83 / 100-59 | BAL -105 | MASN | 4:05 PM |
| Tampa Bay Rays | Toronto Blue Jays | 97-62 / 88-71 | TOR -145 | SNET | 4:07 PM |
| Philadelphia Phillies | New York Mets | 89-70 / 72-86 | PHI -125 | SNY | 4:10 PM |
| Washington Nationals | Atlanta Braves | 69-90 / 103-56 | ATL -300 | BSSE | 4:20 PM |
| San Diego Padres | Chicago White Sox | 79-80 / 61-98 | SD -145 | NSPCH | 4:40 PM |
| New York Yankees | Kansas City Royals | 81-78 / 54-105 | NYY -145 | BSKC | 5:10 PM |
| Chicago Cubs | Milwaukee Brewers | 82-77 / 90-69 | MIL -115 | BSWI | 5:10 PM |
| Minnesota Twins | Colorado Rockies | 85-74 / 58-101 | MIN -190 | SN RM | 5:10 PM |
| Cincinnati Reds | St. Louis Cardinals | 81-78 / 69-90 | CIN -120 | BSMW | 5:15 PM |
| Oakland Athletics | Los Angeles Angels | 49-110 / 71-88 | LAA -150 | BSW H | 6:38 PM |
| Houston Astros | Arizona Diamondbacks | 87-72 / 84-75 | ARI -120 | AT&T SportsNet Southwest | 6:40 PM |
| Texas Rangers | Seattle Mariners | 89-70 / 86-73 | SEA -120 | RSNW | 7:10 PM |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | San Francisco Giants | 98-61 / 78-81 | LAD -145 | NSPB | 7:15 PM |
| Thursday September 28th | |
|---|---|
| MLB REGULAR SEASON | TIME ET |
| Kansas City at Detroit | 1:10pm |
| Oakland at Minnesota | 1:10pm |
| Pittsburgh at Philadelphia | 6:05pm |
| Boston at Baltimore | 6:35pm |
| NY Yankees at Toronto | 7:07pm |
| Miami at NY Mets | 7:10pm |
| Chi. Cubs at Atlanta | 7:20pm |
| St. Louis at Milwaukee | 7:40pm |
| LA Dodgers at Colorado | 8:40pm |
| Texas at Seattle | 9:40pm |
| NFL REGULAR SEASON | TIME ET |
| Detroit at Green Bay | 8:15pm |
| COLLEGE FOOTBALL | TIME ET |
| Middle Tennessee at WKU | 7:30pm |
| Temple at Tulsa | 7:30pm |
| Jacksonville ST @ Sam Houston | 8:00pm |
| Wednesday | Sports On TV Today | 2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Time (EDT) | MLB Home Team | Away Team | TV Channel |
| 2:10 PM | Chicago White Sox | Arizona Diamondbacks | MLB NETWORK, MLB.TV, NBCS CHICAGO |
| 4:10 PM | New York Mets | Miami Marlins (Game 1) | BALLY FLORIDA, ESPN APP, ESPN+, MLB.TV, SNY |
| 6:10 PM | Cleveland Guardians | Cincinnati Reds | BALLY GREAT LAKES, BALLY INDIANA, BALLY OHIO, BALLY SOUTHEAST, MLB.TV |
| 6:10 PM | Boston Red Sox | Tampa Bay Rays | BALLY SUN, ESPN APP, ESPN+, MLB.TV, NESN |
| 6:35 PM | Baltimore Orioles | Washington Nationals | MASN, MASN 2, MLB.TV |
| 6:40 PM | Detroit Tigers | Kansas City Royals | BALLY DETROIT, BALLY KANSAS CITY, BALLY MIDWEST, MLB.TV |
| 6:40 PM | Philadelphia Phillies | Pittsburgh Pirates | ATTSN PITTSBURGH, MLB.TV, NBCS PHILADELPHIA |
| 7:07 PM | Toronto Blue Jays | New York Yankees | AMAZON PRIME, MLB.TV, SPORTSNET SN EAST, SN ONTARIO |
| 7:10 PM | New York Mets | Miami Marlins (Game 2) | BALLY FLORIDA, SNY |
| 7:20 PM | Atlanta Braves | Chicago Cubs | BALLY CAROLINAS, BALLY SOUTH, MARQUEE, MLB.TV, RDS 2 |
| 7:40 PM | Minnesota Twins | Oakland Athletics | BALLY NORTH, MLB.TV, NBCS CALIFORNIA |
| 7:40 PM | Milwaukee Brewers | St. Louis Cardinals | BALLY MIDWEST, BALLY SOUTHEAST, BALLY WISCONSIN, MLB.TV |
| 8:40 PM | Colorado Rockies | Los Angeles Dodgers | ATTSN ROCKY MOUNTAIN, MLB.TV, SPORTSNET LA |
| 9:38 PM | Los Angeles Angels | Texas Rangers | BALLY NEW ORLEANS, BALLY OKLAHOMA, BALLY SOUTHWEST, BALLY SOUTHWEST XTRA, BALLY WEST, MORE |
| 9:40 PM | Seattle Mariners | Houston Astros | ATTSN SOUTHWEST, MLB NETWORK, MLB.TV, ROOT SPORTS |
| 9:45 PM | San Francisco Giants | San Diego Padres | MLB NETWORK, MLB.TV, NBCS BAY AREA, SAN DIEGO PADRES |
