Updated on 18, Nov 2022

NFL WEEK 11 – THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 17, 2022 | 8:15 PM
(311) TENNESSEE (SU: 6-3, ATS: 7-2) at (312) GREEN BAY (-3) (SU: 4-6, ATS: 4-6)

TEN: 0-11 ATS away against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game in the second half of the season since 1992….3-18 ATS against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game in the second half of the season since 1992….6-0 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest this season….15-5 UNDER in games played on a grass field over the L2 seasons….13-4 ATS after the first month of the season over the L2 seasons.
GB: 43-17 ATS at home when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992….55-29 OVER versus poor defensive teams – allowing >=350 yards/game in the second half of the season since 1992….281-234 ATS in all lined games since 1992….200-160 OVER as a favorite since 1992….126-96 ATS as a home favorite since 1992….143-109 ATS in home lined games since 1992.
Betting System: Favorites – after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record. (48-19 ATS)

Play = GREEN BAY against the spread (LOSS)
Series History – GREEN BAY is 1-0 ATS (1-0 SU) vs. TENNESSEE. (1-0 ATS, 1-0 SU at home).
Getboston Sports Consensus :->> TENNESSEE 20 ( WON), GREEN BAY 19

(451) CAROLINA (SU: 3-7, ATS: 4-6) at (452) BALTIMORE (-12) (SU: 6-3, ATS: 4-4) at 1:00 PM

CAR: 51-22 OVER away vs. good offensive teams – scoring 24 or more points/game since 1992….52-24 UNDER off a win against a division rival since 1992….9-18 ATS in all lined games over the L2 seasons….93-68 UNDER off a division game since 1992….25-12 OVER away after having lost 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games since 1992….21-8 UNDER off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog since 1992.
BAL: 9-1 UNDER after gaining 150 or more rushing yards in 3 straight games over the L3 seasons….19-6 UNDER at home after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992….181-146 ATS in games played on a grass field since 1992….8-1 UNDER after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games over the L3 seasons….60-39 ATS after gaining 150 or less passing yards in last game since 1992.
Betting System: Any team – after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season. (5-26 ATS)

Play = BALTIMORE against the spread
Series History – CAROLINA is 1-0 ATS (1-0 SU) vs. BALTIMORE. 

Getboston Sports Consensus BALTIMORE 27 (WON), CAROLINA 19 ( +12.5)

CLE: 1-10 ATS off a road loss over the L3 seasons….0-7 ATS vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return over the L2 seasons….35-62 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992….1-8 ATS after playing their last game on the road over the L2 seasons….11-22 ATS against conference opponents over the L3 seasons.
BUF: 25-8 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992….19-5 ATS at home vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game in the second half of the season since 1992….13-3 OVER at home after leading in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half since 1992….24-9 OVER at home versus good rushing teams – averaging >=130 rushing yards/game since 1992.
Betting System: Underdogs or pick – after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. (51-16 ATS)

Play = CLEVELAND against the spread ( EVEN ATS)
Series History – CLEVELAND is 0-0 ATS (1-0 SU) vs. BUFFALO.

Getboston Sports Consensus->>> BUFFALO 33 (WON), CLEVELAND 19

PHI: 39-19 ATS vs. mistake free teams – 42 or less penalty yards per game since 1992….16-5 OVER against AFC South division opponents since 1992….109-81 UNDER off a division game since 1992….40-24 OVER away in non-conference games since 1992….60-36 ATS off 2 or more consecutive overs since 1992….26-11 UNDER off 3 or more consecutive overs since 1992….7-1 over the 1H total as a favorite this season.
IND: 8-0 UNDER at home after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games over the L3 seasons….39-19 UNDER versus good rushing teams – averaging >=130 rushing yards/game in the second half of the season since 1992….9-1 OVER versus excellent offensive teams – averaging >=375 yards/game over the L3 seasons….67-46 OVER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
Betting System: Road teams against the total – excellent passing team (>=7.3 PYA) against an average passing team (5.9-6.7 PYA) after 8+ games. (76-36 Under)

Play = Under the total (WON)
Series History – INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 ATS (0-1 SU) vs. PHILADELPHIA. 

Getboston Sports Consensus PHILADELPHIA 22 (WON), INDIANAPOLIS 19

WAS: 21-6 ATS versus terrible defensive teams – allowing >=6 yards/play in the second half of the season since 1992….9-1 UNDER off a upset win as an underdog over the L3 seasons….9-1 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the L3 seasons….20-7 UNDER vs. mistake free teams – 42 or less penalty yards per game in the second half of the season since 1992.
HOU: 19-5 OVER at home after scoring 17 points or less in 2 straight games since 1992….6-0 OVER at home after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game over the L2 seasons….8-1 OVER at home after 2 or more consecutive losses over the L3 seasons….36-20 UNDER vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return in the second half of the season since 1992.
Betting System: Any team – off a huge upset win as a double digit underdog, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season. (2-21 ATS)

Play = HOUSTON against the spread
Series History – HOUSTON is 0-1 ATS (1-0 SU) vs. WASHINGTON.

Getboston Sports Consensus WASHINGTON 20 (WON), HOUSTON 19

NYJ: 17-31 ATS away after a 2 game home stand since 1992….28-11 against the 1H line after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games since 1992….59-33 over the 1H total away vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. since 1992….27-12 under the 1H total away after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992.
NE: 92-56 ATS after having won 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992….77-41 ATS after having won 4 out of their last 5 games since 1992….10-2 ATS after playing a game at home over the L2 seasons….29-11 ATS after gaining 4 or less yards/play in their previous game since 1992….118-74 ATS vs. poor passing defenses – allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse since 1992.
Betting System: Any team – off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season. (37-87 ATS)

Play = NEW ENGLAND against the spread (WON)
Series History – NEW ENGLAND is 8-3 ATS (11-0 SU) vs. NY JETS. (4-1 ATS, 5-0 SU at home).
Getboston Sports Consensus NEW ENGLAND 23 (WON), NY JETS 19

DET: 9-28 ATS away after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992….8-0 ATS away after being outgained by 75 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games since 1992….18-5 OVER off a road win against a division rival since 1992….17-5 ATS after being outgained by 75 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games since 1992….164-202 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NYG: 13-1 UNDER at home when playing with 6 or less days rest over the L3 seasons….10-0 UNDER at home versus poor defensive teams – allowing >=350 yards/game over the L3 seasons….11-1 UNDER in home lined games over the L2 seasons….11-1 UNDER at home in games played on turf over the L2 seasons….9-0 UNDER after covering the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games over the L3 seasons.
Betting System: Road underdogs or pick – good offensive team – scoring 24 or more points/game, after a win by 3 or less points. (95-47 ATS)

Play = DETROIT against the spread (WON)
Series History – DETROIT is 1-1 ATS (2-0 SU) vs. NY GIANTS. (1-0 ATS, 1-0 SU away).
Getboston Sports Consensus – NY GIANTS 25, DETROIT 24

LAR: 9-0 UNDER against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season over the L3 seasons….31-58 ATS after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game since 1992….20-8 UNDER after the first month of the season over the L3 seasons….56-79 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992….226-270 ATS in all lined games since 1992….168-208 ATS against conference opponents since 1992.
NO: 11-0 OVER at home vs. mistake free teams – 42 or less penalty yards per game in the second half of the season since 1992….7-0 UNDER after having lost 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games over the L2 seasons….7-0 UNDER after a loss by 10 or more points over the L2 seasons….16-5 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders over the L3 seasons….Dennis Allen is 11-23 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest .
Betting System: Home favorites – an average offensive team (18-23 PPG) against an average defensive team (18-23 PPG), after 2 straight losses by 10 or more points. (9-34 ATS)

Play = LA RAMS against the spread
Series History – LA RAMS are 3-1 ATS (3-1 SU) vs. NEW ORLEANS. (1-1 ATS, 1-1 SU away).
Getboston Sports Consensus – NEW ORLEANS 22 (WON), LA RAMS 19

CHI: 14-31 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5 since 1992….13-3 UNDER after allowing 25 points or more in 3 straight games since 1992….10-25 ATS after 2 straight games where 50 total points or more were scored since 1992….7-20 ATS away vs. poor punt coverage teams, allowing >= 12 yards per return since 1992….0-7 ATS in weeks 10 through 13 over the L3 seasons.
ATL: 8-0 UNDER in weeks 10 through 13 over the L3 seasons….77-46 UNDER in November games since 1992….33-59 ATS at home vs. poor passing defenses – allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse since 1992….38-17 UNDER versus good rushing teams – averaging >=4.5 rushing yards/carry in the second half of the season since 1992….14-4 UNDER versus good offensive teams – averaging >=5.65 yards/play over the L3 seasons.
Betting System: Any team against the total – off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival, in the second half of the season. (31-6 Over)

Play = Over the total (WON)
Series History – ATLANTA is 0-2 ATS (1-1 SU) vs. CHICAGO. (0-1 ATS, 0-1 SU at home).

Getboston Sports Consensus –>> ATLANTA 26 (WON), CHICAGO 23

(467) LAS VEGAS (SU: 2-7, ATS: 3-6) at (468) DENVER (-2.5) (SU: 3-6, ATS: 3-6)

– Sunday, 11/20/2022 4:05 PM

LV: 47-94 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992….27-53 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992….29-57 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) since 1992….14-33 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the second half of the season since 1992.
DEN: 0-8 ATS against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season over the L2 seasons….12-2 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the L2 seasons….20-6 UNDER in all lined games over the L2 seasons….15-4 UNDER in games played on a grass field over the L2 seasons….15-4 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders over the L2 seasons….8-0 UNDER in weeks 10 through 13 over the L3 seasons.
Betting System: Road teams – after being beaten by the spread by 21 or more points total in their last three games, in weeks 10 through 13. (33-9 ATS)

Play = LAS VEGAS against the spread (WON)
Series History – LAS VEGAS is 4-1 ATS (5-0 SU) vs. DENVER. (1-1 ATS, 2-0 SU away).

Getboston Sports Consensus –>>> DENVER 20, LAS VEGAS 20 (WON)

(469) KANSAS CITY (-6.5) (SU: 7-2, ATS: 4-5) at (470) LA CHARGERS (SU: 5-4, ATS: 6-3)

– Sunday, 11/20/2022 8:20 PM

KC: 2-15 ATS after gaining 400 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games since 1992….2-16 ATS after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games since 1992….6-19 ATS after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games since 1992….39-18 ATS away vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game since 1992….70-48 UNDER in November games since 1992.
LAC: 67-34 UNDER at home versus division opponents since 1992….19-39 ATS at home when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992….29-12 UNDER at home when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%) since 1992….31-14 UNDER at home versus good offensive teams – averaging >=350 yards/game in the second half of the season since 1992.
Betting System: Favorites – with an incredible offense – averaging 385 or more total yards/game, after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games. (8-35 ATS)

Play = LA CHARGERS against the spread (WON)
Series History – KANSAS CITY is 6-5 ATS (8-3 SU) vs. LA CHARGERS. (4-1 ATS, 5-0 SU away).

Getboston Sports Consensus–>>> KANSAS CITY 33 (WON), LA CHARGERS 25

(471) DALLAS (-1) (SU: 6-3, ATS: 6-3) at (472) MINNESOTA (SU: 8-1, ATS: 4-4)

– Sunday, 11/20/2022 4:25 PM

DAL: 8-0 ATS after allowing 6 or more yards/play in their previous game over the L2 seasons….7-0 ATS away in games played on turf over the L2 seasons….8-0 UNDER away after allowing 6 or more yards/play in their previous game over the L3 seasons….9-1 ATS vs. poor passing defenses – allowing 235 or more passing yards/game over the L2 seasons….19-8 ATS in all lined games over the L2 seasons.
MIN: 15-4 OVER after playing their last game on the road over the L3 seasons….27-15 OVER in all lined games over the L3 seasons….38-21 ATS as a home underdog since 1992….10-2 OVER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the L3 seasons….40-22 ATS in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992….21-10 OVER against conference opponents over the L3 seasons.
Betting System: Any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points – after going over the total by more than 14 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 21 or more points total in their last three games. (38-11 Under)

Play = Under the total (WON)
Series History – DALLAS is 2-1 ATS (2-1 SU) vs. MINNESOTA. (2-0 ATS, 2-0 SU away).

Getboston Sports Consensus–>>> DALLAS 24 (WON), MINNESOTA 22

(473) CINCINNATI (-4.5) (SU: 5-4, ATS: 6-3) at (474) PITTSBURGH (SU: 3-6, ATS: 4-4)

– Sunday, 11/20/2022 4:25 PM

CIN: 9-0 ATS away vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better over the L2 seasons….8-0 UNDER away after playing a game at home over the L2 seasons….32-9 UNDER away vs. poor passing defenses – allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the second half of the season since 1992….11-2 ATS vs. poor passing defenses – allowing 235 or more passing yards/game over the L2 seasons.
PIT: 72-40 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. since 1992….44-21 ATS at home versus good offensive teams – averaging >=5.65 yards/play since 1992….44-26 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992….104-78 ATS at home when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992….24-10 OVER at home after allowing 50 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.
Betting System: Any team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points – after outgaining opp by 150 or more total yards in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 200 or more total yards in their previous game. (35-10 Under)

Play = Under the total (WON)
Series History – PITTSBURGH is 5-5 ATS (8-3 SU) vs. CINCINNATI. (3-2 ATS, 4-1 SU at home).
Getboston Sports Consensus–>>> CINCINNATI 22 (WON), PITTSBURGH 17

NFL WEEK 11 – MONDAY, NOVEMBER 21, 2022
(475) SAN FRANCISCO (-8) (SU: 5-4, ATS: 4-5) vs. (476) ARIZONA (SU: 4-6, ATS: 5-5)

– Monday, 11/21/2022 8:15 PM

SF: 35-13 ATS when playing on Monday night since 1992….7-0 ATS off a non-conference game over the L2 seasons….8-0 UNDER vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return in the second half of the season over the L3 seasons….18-5 ATS away when playing on Monday night since 1992….31-17 ATS away when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) since 1992.
ARZ: 3-15 ATS away when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the second half of the season since 1992….1-10 ATS versus good offensive teams – averaging >=350 yards/game in the second half of the season over the L3 seasons….13-32 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) since 1992….20-8 OVER away off in 2 straight division games since 1992.
Betting System: Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points – after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, in November games. (5-26 ATS)

Play = ARIZONA against the spread
Series History – ARIZONA is 7-2 ATS (7-3 SU) vs. SAN FRANCISCO. (3-2 ATS, 3-2 SU neutral).

Getboston Sports Consensus___>>> SAN FRANCISCO 25, ARIZONA 16