Week 14 NFL Boston Sports Predictions

NFL WEEK 14 – SUNDAY, DECEMBER 11, 2022

10* Los Angeles Chargers +3.5 (NFL) (WON)

NBA

Chicago Bulls +2.5, (Covered) 

TOR Raptors -7.0 Point Spread @ ORL Magic (LOSS)

DET: 17-3 OVER after a win by 21 or more points since 1992….11-1 ATS vs. poor passing defenses – allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the second half of the season over the L2 seasons….8-0 ATS versus poor defensive teams – allowing >=5.65 yards/play in the second half of the season over the L2 seasons….31-10 OVER at home vs. poor passing defenses – allowing 7 or more passing yards/att. since 1992.
Analytical Get Boston Sports Pick System:: Home favorites – after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season. (20-53 ATS)
Series History – DETROIT is 6-5 ATS (2-9 SU) vs. MINNESOTA. (2-3 ATS, 1-4 SU at home).
Boston Sports Predictions: DETROIT 28, MINNESOTA 25 /   Play = MINNESOTA against the spread

Results: –>>> Detroit 34, Minn 23.
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NYJ: 8-28 ATS away versus good rushing teams – averaging >=4.5 rushing yards/carry since 1992….3-16 ATS away versus good rushing teams – averaging >=4.5 rushing yards/carry in the second half of the season since 1992….10-2 OVER after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the L2 seasons….77-52 UNDER in December games since 1992….97-127 ATS off 1 or more straight overs since 1992.

BUF: 9-1 OVER at home off a division game over the L3 seasons….56-30 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992….72-46 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992….18-9 UNDER as a favorite over the L2 seasons….24-11 ATS in games played on turf over the L3 seasons….56-86 ATS after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.
Analytical Get Boston Sports Pick System:: Any team against the total – excellent rushing team – averaging 5 or more rushing yards/carry, after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games. (47-18 Under)
Series History – BUFFALO is 6-5 ATS (7-4 SU) vs. NY JETS. (3-2 ATS, 3-2 SU at home).
Boston Sports Predictions: BUFFALO 25, NY JETS 18 / Play = Under the total

Results: –>>> BUFFALO 20, NY JETS 12
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(109) BALTIMORE (SU: 8-4, ATS: 4-7) at (110) PITTSBURGH (-2) (SU: 5-7, ATS: 6-5) – Sunday, 12/11/2022 1:00 PM
PHI: 12-1 OVER versus terrible rushing defenses – allowing >=5 rushing yards/carry since 1992….10-2 OVER after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the L2 seasons….60-37 ATS off 2 or more consecutive overs since 1992….38-21 UNDER after scoring 35 points or more last game since 1992….0-6 ATS away after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the L3 seasons.

NYG: 8-0 UNDER as a home underdog over the L2 seasons….12-1 UNDER as a home underdog of 7 points or less over the L3 seasons….8-0 UNDER at home after 1 or more consecutive losses over the L2 seasons….30-12 UNDER in all lined games over the L3 seasons….11-2 UNDER in home lined games over the L2 seasons….13-2 UNDER at home when playing with 6 or less days rest over the L3 seasons.
Analytical Get Boston Sports Pick System:: Road favorites – with an excellent offense – averaging 5.7 or more yards/play, after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games. (10-36 ATS)
Series History – NY GIANTS are 7-3 ATS (2-8 SU) vs. PHILADELPHIA. (3-2 ATS, 2-3 SU at home).
Boston Sports Predictions: PHILADELPHIA 25, NY GIANTS 20 / Play = NY GIANTS against the spread

Results:>>>> PHILADELPHIA 48, NY GIANTS 22
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CLE: 1-9 ATS after playing their last game on the road over the L2 seasons….1-8 ATS after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the L2 seasons….12-23 ATS against conference opponents over the L3 seasons….67-44 UNDER in December games since 1992….1-8 ATS away after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the L3 seasons.

CIN: 15-3 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders over the L2 seasons….19-5 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. over the L2 seasons….7-0 ATS after covering the spread in 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games over the L2 seasons….7-0 ATS vs. poor passing defenses – allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse this season….23-10 ATS in all lined games over the L2 seasons.
Analytical Get Boston Sports Pick System:: Home teams – excellent passing team (>=7.3 PYA) against an average passing team (5.9-6.7 PYA), after gaining 6.75 or more passing yards/attempt in 4 straight games. (9-32 ATS)
Series History – CINCINNATI is 7-4 ATS (3-8 SU) vs. CLEVELAND. (3-2 ATS, 2-3 SU at home).
Boston Sports Predictions: CINCINNATI 29, CLEVELAND 23 / Play = CLEVELAND against the spread

Results:>>> CINCINNATI 23, CLEVELAND 10
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JAC: 8-0 UNDER off a non-conference game over the L2 seasons….8-1 UNDER after allowing 30 points or more last game over the L2 seasons….4-16 ATS after allowing 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games since 1992….19-6 UNDER vs. awful passing defenses – allowing 260 or more passing yards/game after 8+ games since 1992….5-15 ATS after the first month of the season over the L2 seasons.

TEN: 8-0 ATS after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game over the L2 seasons….9-1 UNDER as a home favorite over the L2 seasons….7-0 UNDER at home vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better over the L2 seasons….12-3 UNDER in home lined games over the L2 seasons….12-3 UNDER at home in games played on a grass field over the L2 seasons.
Analytical Get Boston Sports Pick System:: Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points – after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers. (5-28 ATS)
Series History – TENNESSEE is 8-2 ATS (9-1 SU) vs. JACKSONVILLE. (4-1 ATS, 5-0 SU at home).
Boston Sports Predictions: TENNESSEE 23, JACKSONVILLE 19 / Play = JACKSONVILLE against the spread

Results: TENNESSEE 22, JACKSONVILLE 36

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HOU: 9-1 UNDER away vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. over the L2 seasons….0-8 ATS away versus good offensive teams – averaging >=350 yards/game over the L3 seasons….25-10 UNDER away after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games since 1992….8-1 UNDER away after 2 or more consecutive losses over the L2 seasons….55-34 UNDER in December games since 1992.

DAL: 9-1 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the L2 seasons….71-29 OVER at home vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. since 1992….41-16 OVER at home vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better in the second half of the season since 1992….21-9 ATS in all lined games over the L2 seasons….18-6 ATS in games played on turf over the L2 seasons.
Analytical Get Boston Sports Pick System:: Road teams against the total – a poor offensive team (14-18 PPG) against a good defensive team (14-18 PPG), after scoring 17 points or less in 2 straight games. (69-29 Over)
Series History – HOUSTON is 0-0 ATS (1-0 SU) vs. DALLAS.
Boston Sports Predictions: DALLAS 28, HOUSTON 14 / Play = Over the total

Results:>>>> DALLAS 27, HOUSTON 23
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(119) MIAMI (-3) (SU: 8-4, ATS: 6-6) at (120) LA CHARGERS (SU: 6-6, ATS: 7-5) – Sunday, 12/11/2022 8:20 PM
MIA: 46-21 ATS against AFC West division opponents since 1992….83-50 UNDER versus poor defensive teams – allowing >=350 yards/game since 1992….272-227 UNDER in all lined games since 1992….210-166 UNDER when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992….74-51 UNDER after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992….8-1 ATS after having won 4 out of their last 5 games over the L3 seasons.

LAC: 9-1 OVER off a road loss over the L3 seasons….10-2 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses over the L2 seasons….23-47 ATS at home after allowing 6 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992….18-6 OVER vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better over the L3 seasons….57-38 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5 since 1992.
Analytical Get Boston Sports Pick System:: Favorites – with a poor turnover defense – forcing 1 or less turnovers/game, after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers. (16-49 ATS)
Series History – MIAMI is 2-1 ATS (2-1 SU) vs. LA CHARGERS. (1-0 ATS, 1-0 SU away).
Boston Sports Predictions: MIAMI 28, LA CHARGERS 24 /Play = LA CHARGERS against the spread

Results: >>> MIAMI 17, LA CHARGERS 23

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CAR: 1-8 ATS vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the L2 seasons….3-12 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better over the L2 seasons….1-8 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the season over the L2 seasons….51-23 OVER away vs. good offensive teams – scoring 24 or more points/game since 1992.

SEA: 56-36 OVER at home off a division game since 1992….76-50 ATS in December games since 1992….0-6 ATS after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games over the L3 seasons….151-118 OVER after 1 or more consecutive wins since 1992….48-30 ATS at home after gaining 6 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992….55-32 ATS after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.
Analytical Get Boston Sports Pick System:: Home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points – excellent passing team (>=7.3 PYA) against an average passing defense (5.9-6.7 PYA) after 8+ games, after gaining 8 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games. (33-8 Under) Play = Under the
Series History – SEATTLE is 1-0 ATS (2-0 SU) vs. CAROLINA.
Boston Sports Predictions: SEATTLE 27, CAROLINA 22 /   Play = Under the total

Results: >>> SEATTLE 24, CAROLINA 30
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TB: 8-0 UNDER against conference opponents this season….10-2 UNDER in all lined games this season….7-0 UNDER away in games played on a grass field over the L2 seasons….1-8 ATS in games played on a grass field this season….0-6 ATS off 2 or more consecutive unders this season….37-18 UNDER away after having won 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992….40-23 UNDER away in December games since 1992.

SF: 8-0 ATS off a non-conference game over the L2 seasons….10-2 ATS after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games over the L2 seasons….8-1 ATS after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games over the L2 seasons….9-1 ATS after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games over the L3 seasons….8-1 ATS vs. poor kickoff coverage teams, allowing >= 24 yards per return over the L2 seasons.
Analytical Get Boston Sports Pick System:: Any team against the total – after allowing 17 points or less in 5 straight games against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game. (43-13 Over)
Series History – SAN FRANCISCO is 1-1 ATS (1-1 SU) vs. TAMPA BAY.
Boston Sports Predictions: SAN FRANCISCO 21, TAMPA BAY 14 /  Play = Over the total

Results: >>> SAN FRANCISCO 21, TAMPA BAY 14
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KC: 4-19 ATS after gaining 6 or more yards/play in 4 consecutive games since 1992….8-0 ATS vs. mistake prone teams – 60+ penalty yards per game over the L3 seasons….11-28 ATS after gaining 6 or more yards/play in 3 consecutive games since 1992….1-7 ATS against conference opponents this season….48-28 OVER away after having won 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.

DEN: 11-1 UNDER in all lined games this season….9-0 UNDER in games played on a grass field this season….0-10 ATS against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season over the L2 seasons….18-4 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders over the L2 seasons….8-0 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses this season….8-0 UNDER after the first month of the season this season.
Analytical Get Boston Sports Pick System:: Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points – a horrible offensive team (<=14 PPG) against an average defensive team (18-23 PPG), after scoring 17 points or less in 3 straight games. (62-25 ATS)
Series History – KANSAS CITY is 7-3 ATS (10-0 SU) vs. DENVER. (4-1 ATS, 5-0 SU away).
Boston Sports Predictions: KANSAS CITY 23, DENVER 18  /  Play = DENVER against the spread

Results: >>> KANSAS CITY 34, DENVER 28
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